RandBall: As Twins plummet, the season’s not over until it’s Ober

With Pablo Lopez and Zebby Matthews injured, the Twins have little margin for error in their rotation. Bailey Ober’s struggles have magnified that, Michael Rand writes in today’s 10 things to know.

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The Minnesota Star Tribune
June 16, 2025 at 3:42PM
Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Bailey Ober has struggled in his most recent starts. (Abbie Parr/The Associated Press)

The alleged silver lining after Twins starter Pablo Lopez left his June 3 start with what was ultimately diagnosed as a significant shoulder strain was that Minnesota had multiple pitchers throwing like they belonged at the top of the rotation.

If the could just hit a little more to offset the loss of Lopez, things would be OK. Another injury to young starter Zebby Matthews complicated that plan, but really even after that things figured to be OK as long as Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober and Chris Paddack continued to deal.

Ryan has done reasonably well (four earned runs in 12 innings over two starts since Lopez was hurt). Paddack is 1-for-2, with the bad one being his latest outing (four innings, eight earned runs). But it’s Ober who qualifies as the biggest concern and the unfortunate culprit during a stretch that could have been merely difficult and now feels like a free-fall.

The Twins have lost eight of their last 10 games, with two of those losses coming in Ober starts where he allowed a combined 12 runs in 11⅔ innings.

There is plenty of blame to go around during that stretch, including a punchless offense during these last two losses and some bullpen woes as well. But the starting pitching, which has turned infielder Jonah Bride into one of the Twins’ busiest relief pitchers, largely has flailed.

Ober talked about how he has pitched through hip discomfort this season, offering a very telling quote after his last rough start.

“I think I’ll be fine,” Ober said. “I mean, obviously if I keep pitching like this, then probably not.”

And that’s it. That’s the whole season for the Twins, as Patrick Reusse and I talked about on Monday’s Daily Delivery podcast.

If Ober can recapture his form, they might regroup and find this was a small rough patch on the road to wild card contention. They are 36-35 right now, clustered around a bunch of teams fighting for the last wild card spot.

Ober’s velocity was back up to normal levels in his last start, even if his command and effectiveness were not.

If Ober, whose next start is Wednesday, cannot find that form and/or requires a stint on the injured list as a result of his hip ailment, it’s hard to imagine the Twins hanging on until Lopez (hopefully) returns sometime in mid-to-late August.

Here are nine more things to know today:

about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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