Minnesota's economy picked up speed in third quarter

The state still trails overall growth in the U.S.

December 22, 2023 at 9:31PM
Apprentice carpenter Breanna Dornsbach, second from right, who works for Knutson Construction, laughs while getting some good nature teasing from co-workers while helping to snap a line on a piece of plywood for framing the roof for flashing on a construction project at the University of Minnesota Monday, May 16, 2022 in Minneapolis, Minn. Construction was a key contributor to Minnesota’s GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023. (David Joles, Star Tribune/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Minnesota's economy gained speed over the summer after a sluggish midyear.

The state's real gross domestic product (GDP), which measures the total value of goods and services produced, rose 4.1% on an annualized basis in the third quarter after ticking up less than 1% in the second quarter, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday.

Other states experienced a similar boost in July through September, reflecting a nationwide surge driven by strong consumer spending despite prolonged inflation and higher interest rates. While real second-quarter GDP declined in six states, including neighboring Wisconsin, it rose in the third quarter in all 50 states and jumped 4.9% nationally.

Minnesota's growth tends to fall in the middle of the pack in the U.S. and the Plains region. South Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas all experienced higher third-quarter growth, with sizable gains in agriculture — a sector where Minnesota saw a decline.

"You can have bumpiness at the state level in how some of these sector-specific things are reported," said Tyler Schipper, an associate economics professor at the University of St. Thomas. "I wouldn't necessarily look at this report and say, 'Oh, Kansas and Nebraska are regional powerhouses compared to Minnesota' because of two above-average quarters."

Minnesota's economic output outpaced the U.S. in the first quarter, with a 2.2% increase driven by agriculture, retail and construction.

Personal income also rose in the third quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported, with a $195.3 billion quarter-over-quarter increase nationwide. Minnesota added about $3 billion in personal income in the second quarter, a 3% increase compared with 3.5% nationally.

Still, Minnesota's hourly wages and job growth are outpacing the U.S. as a whole. The state Department of Employment and Economic Development reported Thursday that the average hourly wage in Minnesota reached $36.29 in November, more than $2 higher than the national average. Minnesota added 9,500 jobs from October to November, a 0.3% uptick compared with 0.1% nationally.

The U.S. labor market has softened as the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates to combat high inflation, but unemployment has remained unexpectedly low. The national jobless rate has held below 4% for 22 months, the longest stretch in half a century, and Minnesota's rate has stayed even lower.

"Minnesota is an economy that tends to do pretty well and is highly diversified," Schipper said, "even if it's not growing as rapidly as other places in the country."

about the writer

Emma Nelson

Editor

Emma Nelson is a reporter and editor at the Star Tribune.

See More

More from Business

Dr. Shruti K. Gohil, associate medical director for epidemiology and infection prevention at UCI Medical Center, holds a dose of MMR, the vaccine against measles, mumps and rubella. (Ana Venegas/Orange County Register/TNS) ORG XMIT: 1163174 ORG XMIT: MIN1501282305177647 ORG XMIT: MIN1502031200399233

Health officials say the recent outbreak of the highly contagious virus looked bad this summer, but optimism is growing they may have contained it.

Light and dark arrows pointing in opposite directions over a file photo of white and black school children in the 1950s.
card image